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Monday, February 25, 2013

What the new TV3 Poll really says

What the TV3 poll tells us is what white wealthy people with landlines think. Let's not forget that the TV3/Reid Research Poll claimed National had 50.8% in the week before election.

In fact that entire month the TV3 Reid Research Poll was out. Their first week in November they had National at a staggeringly wrong 53.3% (6% out) and 50.3 (3% out)

So over that month, the TV3 Reid Research Poll was out between 6% and 3%. Now the election show I hosted with vastly less resources than TV3, ZB, RNZ and TVNZ was the only election show that called the election right and iPredict still have Labour having a 52% possibility of winning the 2014 election.

Why we are listening to a poll that was out by as much as 6% in the last election is utterly beyond me. This Poll is not reflecting opinion, it's manipulating it. The constant drum beat that Key would have over 50% support by flawed landline polls like the TV3/Reid Research Poll over the space of 3 years leading up to the 2011 election was I believe a contributing factor in the last election being the lowest voter turn out in over a century.

These Polls screaming Key is loved by over 50% of the country generates the apathy, combine it with an Opposition that doesn't know if it's diet National or lite blue and progressive NZers are still waiting for leadership from the left.

In the meantime, let's not get sucked into the corporate media brainwash.



At 25/2/13 12:02 p.m., Blogger CAS said...

What I found most puzzling about the findings yesterday is how out of left field it seemed. I just find it quite difficult to believe that National would have such support after their well-publicised blunders and failings.

What I also found to be curious was that the Fairfax and Roy Morgan polls more or less corroborate one another, with National at roughly the 44%~45% mark by their estimation in their most recent surveys, while the polls commissioned by the two major free-to-air networks do the same for each other with National hovering around the 50% mark.

Also re: the captcha image to prove the commenter isn't a robot - is there some way you can get better resolution photos for the numbers? Some of them are way too blurry.

At 25/2/13 5:46 p.m., Blogger Fern said...

Re the captcha image to prove the commenter isn't a robot - if I can't read it I just get rid of the comments link and then re-click on it. I usually get a better pic the second time.


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