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Saturday, April 30, 2011

BY-ELECTION IN TE TAI TOKERAU TO LAUNCH MANA PARTY



Just left the Marae. Lot's of energy for a new party. Hone is going back to Te Tai Tokerau for a mandate for his new party. Expect to see Annette Sykes as number two. Matt McCarten is Campaign Director, 500 signatures started on the day. Expect to see, Nandor, Sue Bradford and John Minto involved.

The clever 'Hone Heke' financial transaction tax was well received.

The Speaker can turn down a request for a byelection if it is within 6 months of the general election, meaning the Speaker should go ahead asap.

6 weeks of media exposure is exactly what the country needs to hear the vision Hone has to articulate to an angry electorate who feel disconnected from the current regime. He needs 85 000 party votes to win 5 MPs and change the Parliamentary math.

This is a math some mainstream media didn't seem to now, hence their lack of appreciation for the political realities that are presenting themselves. A vote for John is a vote for Don will drive the moderates from National and the far right to ACT, National will tumble and may not have enough allies to form a Parliamentary majority.

The truce with the Maori Party will stand. That is important. It's a solid truce. The Maori Party and Mana Party should work together after the election, especially as a Brash-Key Government would move to end Maori Seats. The Maori Party, Mana Party, Greens and Labour Government sounds a lot less frightening as Monty Burns being Finance Minister.

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6 Comments:

At 30/4/11 5:48 pm, Blogger Draco TB said...

If the party goes for a wider support base than just Maori then it has a chance. If not, it's fucked.

That said, there's 20% of the population that didn't vote at last election sitting out there crying for some representation. Most of those will be in the lower socio-economic demographic which appears to be Manas' target. If those people can be encouraged to get out and vote then, even if no other voters shift their vote, would do good things for the left and NZ in general.

 
At 30/4/11 6:14 pm, Blogger Rich said...

The Speaker can turn down a request for a byelection if it is within 6 months of the general election, meaning the Speaker should go ahead asap.

I believe not. s.131 of the Electoral Act says that it requires a 75% majority in parliament to do that.

Also, the election is due on the 26 Nov, so if Hone resigns by the 26th May, this cannot apply (I wouldn't trust Labour not to vote with National to cancel an election).

 
At 30/4/11 11:16 pm, Blogger Jeff said...

God you are delusional in your Bolshevik tower there Bomber. NZ wants the likes of Bradford, Munro, and Harewa even less than they want the likes of Brash in power.

The Mana party is like the ultimate poisoned challace.

NZ whilst naturally left leaning ain't Communist. And how on earth a financial services tax in a non finance hub is meant to replace 30% of the tax take is beyond laughable.

Not only are they mad and think money grows on trees, they can't even do basic maths.

 
At 30/4/11 11:41 pm, Blogger BobbyD said...

How much money will the taxpayer have to fork out for a byelection?

 
At 1/5/11 12:38 am, Blogger Grassroots said...

But Don almost won the last election he ran as leader so obviously many don't realise he's extreme right wing. What happens if the 4 left parties you mention split the left votes between each other instead of attracting the center right? I hope your theory on National supporters bailing left happens because if I think about the alternative I start tasting vomit. Oh mainstream media, thou hast forsaken me!

 
At 1/5/11 6:10 am, Blogger Bomber said...

Rich - Hone is resigning on Tuesday, not on the 26th May so it's outside the 6 months by a matter of weeks.

Jeff - Forgive me but weren't you claiming as some others were that this would never launch in the first place?

BobbyD- What cost democracy huh? We had $34million to give the yachting fraternity but not half a million for a byelection? Ask that of the right for the byelections they have sparked up this year.

Despite the screams that this couldn't happen, my November prediction on backbenchers last year stands. This is happening.

 

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